融通新蓝筹证券投资基金（简称：融通新蓝筹混合，代码161601）08月28日净值上涨1.60%，引起投资者关注。当前基金单位净值为1.2456元，累计净值为3.5506元。
融通新蓝筹混合基金成立以来收益553.02%，今年以来收益36.67%，近一月收益5.06%，近一年收益35.29%，近三年收益42.16%。
融通新蓝筹混合基金成立以来分红12次，累计分红金额18.85亿元。目前该基金开放申购。
基金经理为何龙，自2020年01月02日管理该基金，任职期内收益34.97%。
最新基金定期报告显示，该基金重仓持有立讯精密（持仓比例3.87%）、三一重工（持仓比例3.78%）、长春高新（持仓比例2.85%）、恒瑞医药（持仓比例2.63%）、潍柴动力（持仓比例2.06%）、帝欧家居（持仓比例2.04%）、浪潮信息（持仓比例1.95%）、坚朗五金（持仓比例1.93%）、万达信息（持仓比例1.89%）、五粮液（持仓比例1.86%）。
报告期内基金投资策略和运作分析
一季度我们相对保守，持仓结构以稳内需的方向为主，主要超配在周期投资品。对于疫情演绎的不确定性，我们在科技和消费等板块做了适当的再平衡，控制了相关行业的仓位。二季度，在特朗普就香港问题弱势表态后，我们判断中美冲突议题对市场的影响将逐步弱化，不排除中美关系有继续恶化可能，但对市场情绪上的冲击边际减弱。海外疫情依然有较大不确定性，我们对外需相关的板块持谨慎态度。我们认为内需依然是核心主线；地产竣工链上的相关行业将有望明显继续受益于行业景气度提升，我们继续保持了此方向的超配。在二季度末，临近6月底，市场流动性边际减弱，叠加前期市场个别强势板块的泡沫化，市场进入阶段震荡期，我们优先选择业绩相对明确，预期和估值没有显著透支的顺周期板块；位置相对较高的消费和科技我们继续维持标配，以期跟住市场主线。整体上，我们继续保持多元化阿尔法和有限贝塔的配置思路，板块相对均衡，力求在行业阿尔法和个股阿尔法上获取超额收益。
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截至本报告期末本基金份额净值为1.2305元；业绩比较基准收益率为1.33%。
管理人对宏观经济、证券市场及行业走势的简要展望
我们判断，市场从7月初开始进入技术性风格轮动期。在公募基金中期业绩排名中，可以看到市场某种程度上呈现了一种极端化的风格。物极必反，市场内生的技术性风格修复需求急速提升，这就让我们看到，7月开始，前期涨幅较大的标的出现大跌，而前期滞涨的包括一些低估值的个股开始出现集体暴涨，并且以金融地产标的居多，带动指数上行。
对于后市，我们进行四种情况的路径分析，四种市场演绎路径的概率和应对策略如下：首先，对于风格是否切换，我们认为有两种路径，满足以下两种条件之一即可：第一，经济出现强复苏预期；第二，改革预期热情叠加流动性爆发。那么第一种情况如果出现，金融地产包括投资品会出现持续性行情，但从政策导向和市场现状来看，这种情况发生的可能性不大。第二种情况，即改革的预期升温，目前来看，资本市场的改革加速是比较显著的，从注册制加速到混业经营的提出都能印证这一点。而针对流动性，我们认为2015年类似的杠杆资金应该会受到监管层的严密关注，很难再次失控。因此，这种假设下，券商是金融地产里具有明显产业趋势、有阿尔法的行业，而银行保险地产短期上涨属于贝塔式的修复。
如果前面两种情况都没有出现，那只剩下另外两种情况：第一、经济弱复苏，那么这样金融地产的暴动可能还是会让位于更有产业趋势的个别投资品的上涨，因为，持续的数据推动是基础，比如，工程机械、水泥、重卡。这也是我们一直以来超配储备的方向。还有一种情况是，这次切换只是技术性的再平衡，后续行情依然回归科技、医药和消费。那么在这种情况下，我们本身消费板块和技术板块依然将保持跟住市场的格局，大概率也不会受损。
总的来说，我们认为经济持续弱复苏的可能性较大，如果这种情况持续兑现，我们的超额收益未来将非常显著，鉴于我们对板块贝塔的控制和行业阿尔法的重视，即便出现其他的情况，我们也大概率能跟住市场，并且为投资者创造更加稳健的收益。
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